Benchmark Rates Cut in KSA, Bahrain, UAE & Qatar, Kuwait Takes Different Approach

The central bank of Saudi Arabia (KSA) has implemented its second interest rate reduction of 2024, lowering the benchmark by 25 basis points to 5.25 percent.

This adjustment mirrors the recent US Federal Reserve decision, which also cut rates by the same amount to a target of 4.5 - 4.75 percent.

In a statement, the central bank – also known as SAMA – said: “In light of global developments, and in accordance with the Central Bank’s objective of maintaining monetary stability, it has decided to reduce the Repurchase Agreement rate by 25 basis points to 5.25 percent, and the Reverse Repurchase Agreement rate by 25 basis points to 4.75 percent.​”

Unlike the higher September cut of 50 basis points, this move is a strategic recalibration of monetary policy, aimed at easing high borrowing costs that have been sustained to combat inflation over the past two years.

GCC central banks align interest rates with the US Federal Reserve due to their currency pegs to the dollar, despite having stable inflation rates.

Both the UAE and Bahrain reduced rates by 25 basis points, while Qatar opted for a slightly larger 30-point cut.

Kuwait, however, took a different approach. Its central bank, which pegs its currency to a basket, rather than exclusively to the dollar, lowered rates by 25 basis points in September to 4 percent but did not announce further cuts in November as of date.

Over the past two years, the US Federal Reserve has aggressively tightened its monetary policy to tackle inflation, driving up interest rates in an effort to bring prices down.

Although inflation has made progress toward the Fed’s 2 percent target, it remains slightly elevated, and high costs persist for consumers.

The labor market has shown signs of cooling, with unemployment inching up but still at low levels. The Fed’s ongoing challenge is balancing inflation control with the need to maintain a healthy, resilient job market.

The decision to cut interest rates could have far-reaching implications for the GCC, particularly for Saudi Arabia’s economy.

The Kingdom’s non-oil sectors, already a key focus under Vision 2030, stand to benefit significantly from the influx of cheaper credit.

Sectors such as construction, real estate, and services, which have seen substantial growth, are expected to experience further acceleration.

Lower borrowing costs could spur investments in infrastructure and technology, both vital to the Kingdom’s diversification away from oil.

Corporate lending is also expected to see a boost, with businesses, especially in capital-intensive industries like real estate, poised to take advantage of more affordable financing.

This could translate into more ambitious expansion plans, particularly for projects aligned with Vision 2030 goals, such as NEOM and the Red Sea Project.

The real estate market in particular could see a further surge as cheaper credit fuels demand for housing.

Riyadh’s growing population and influx of expatriates are likely to drive this trend, with lower interest rates making mortgages more affordable.