Oil Hikes on Drop in Russia Exports, Red Sea Jitters

Oil prices rose over 1% in Asian trade on Monday, supported by lower exports from Russia and as attacks by the Houthis on ships in the Red Sea raised concerns of oil supply disruption. Brent crude futures was last up 63 cents, or 0.8%, to US$77.18 a barrel by 0730 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at US$72.04 a barrel, up 61 cents, or 0.9%. "The bad weather in Russia has played a part in the stronger open this morning as has the Houthis attack on ships close to Yemen," IG analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Russia said on Sunday it would deepen oil export cuts in December by potentially 50,000 barrels per day or more, earlier than promised, as the world's biggest exporters try to support global oil prices. This comes after Moscow suspended about two-thirds of loadings of its main export grade Urals crude from ports due to a storm and scheduled maintenance on Friday. Shipping firms, including the world's biggest container shipping lines MSC and A.P. Moller-Maersk, said over weekend that they would avoid the Suez Canal as Houthi militants in Yemen stepped up their assaults on commercial vessels in the Red Sea.

Bab al-Mandab is one of the world's most important routes for global seaborne commodity shipments, particularly crude oil and fuel from the Gulf bound westward for the Mediterranean via the Suez Canal or the nearby SUMED pipeline, as well as commodities heading eastward for Asia, including Russian oil. Both Brent and WTI ended their longest streak of weekly declines in half a decade with a small gain last week after a US Federal Reserve meeting last week raised hopes that interest rate hikes are over and cuts are on their way.

"I think just as importantly however is last week's dovish Fed meeting which removes the tail risks of a hard landing for the US economy and for crude oil demand going forward," IG's Sycamore added. "Not to mention the technical picture in crude oil supports a recovery into the US$76/78 area," he said, referring to WTI prices. Crude oil was also supported by a weakened dollar, added CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng in a note, as a weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated oil cheaper for foreign buyers.